UNC Greensboro vs. Citadel Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 5

Published 1:18 am Wednesday, February 5, 2025

Wednesday’s contest at McAlister Field House has the UNC Greensboro Spartans (14-9, 7-3 SoCon) matching up with the Citadel Bulldogs (5-16, 0-10 SoCon) at 7:00 PM ET. Our computer prediction is a lopsided 76-63 victory, as our model heavily favors UNC Greensboro.

According to our computer prediction, UNC Greensboro should cover the point spread, which is currently listed at 12.5. The two sides are projected to go over the 132.5 total.

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UNC Greensboro vs. Citadel Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Wednesday, February 5, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Charleston, South Carolina
  • Venue: McAlister Field House
  • Line: UNC Greensboro -12.5
  • Point total: 132.5
  • Moneyline (to win): UNC Greensboro -1099, Citadel +650

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UNC Greensboro vs. Citadel Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    UNC Greensboro 76, Citadel 63

Spread & Total Prediction for UNC Greensboro vs. Citadel

  • Pick ATS: UNC Greensboro (-12.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (132.5)

UNC Greensboro’s record against the spread this season is 11-9-0, while Citadel’s is 6-11-0. A total of nine out of the Spartans’ games this season have hit the over, and eight of the Bulldogs’ games have gone over. The two teams score an average of 141.3 points per game, 8.8 more points than this matchup’s total. UNC Greensboro has a 5-5 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall over the past 10 contests. Citadel has gone 3-7 against the spread and 0-10 overall in its last 10 contests.

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UNC Greensboro Performance Insights

  • The Spartans’ +197 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 8.5 points per game) is a result of scoring 73.4 points per game (210th in college basketball) while allowing 64.9 per contest (25th in college basketball).
  • UNC Greensboro ranks 118th in the country at 33.5 rebounds per game. That’s 3.4 more than the 30.1 its opponents average.
  • UNC Greensboro connects on 9.8 three-pointers per game (32nd in college basketball) at a 38.3% rate (19th in college basketball), compared to the 6.7 per game its opponents make at a 29.3% rate.
  • The Spartans average 98.5 points per 100 possessions on offense (115th in college basketball), and give up 87 points per 100 possessions (52nd in college basketball).
  • UNC Greensboro and its opponents have been mostly even in the turnover battle. The Spartans commit 10 per game (50th in college basketball) and force 10.3 (297th in college basketball action).

Citadel Performance Insights

  • The Bulldogs have a -141 scoring differential, falling short by 6.7 points per game. They’re putting up 67.9 points per game, 322nd in college basketball, and are allowing 74.6 per outing to rank 266th in college basketball.
  • Citadel comes up short in the rebound battle by an average of 1.9 boards. It grabs 31.2 rebounds per game (248th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 33.1.
  • Citadel makes 8.2 three-pointers per game (135th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 8.6. It shoots 30.9% from deep, and its opponents shoot 35.3%.
  • Citadel has committed 1.5 more turnovers than its opponents, averaging 12.4 (277th in college basketball) while forcing 10.9 (251st in college basketball).

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