UNC Greensboro vs. Mercer Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 22

Published 5:20 pm Friday, February 21, 2025

Saturday’s game at Hawkins Arena has the UNC Greensboro Spartans (18-10, 11-4 SoCon) squaring off against the Mercer Bears (12-16, 5-10 SoCon) at 2:00 PM (on February 22). Our computer prediction projects a 75-70 victory for UNC Greensboro, who is a small favorite based on our model.

Based on our computer prediction, UNC Greensboro projects to cover the 2.5-point spread in its matchup versus Mercer. The over/under is listed at 145.5, and the two teams are projected to go under that total.

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UNC Greensboro vs. Mercer Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, February 22, 2025
  • Time: 2:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Macon, Georgia
  • Venue: Hawkins Arena
  • Line: UNC Greensboro -2.5
  • Point total: 145.5
  • Moneyline (to win): UNC Greensboro -142, Mercer +118

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UNC Greensboro vs. Mercer Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    UNC Greensboro 75, Mercer 70

Spread & Total Prediction for UNC Greensboro vs. Mercer

  • Pick ATS: UNC Greensboro (-2.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (145.5)

UNC Greensboro is 14-11-0 against the spread this season compared to Mercer’s 13-13-0 ATS record. In terms of going over the point total, games involving the Spartans are 11-14-0 and the Bears are 12-14-0. The teams score an average of 150.4 points per game, 4.9 more points than this matchup’s total. UNC Greensboro has a 5-5 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall in the last 10 contests. Mercer has gone 3-7 against the spread and 3-7 overall in its last 10 contests.

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UNC Greensboro Performance Insights

  • The Spartans outscore opponents by 8.4 points per game (scoring 72.4 points per game to rank 230th in college basketball while allowing 64 per outing to rank 16th in college basketball) and have a +234 scoring differential overall.
  • The 33.3 rebounds per game UNC Greensboro averages rank 106th in the nation, and are 3.4 more than the 29.9 its opponents collect per outing.
  • UNC Greensboro connects on 9.4 three-pointers per game (46th in college basketball), 2.4 more than its opponents (7).
  • The Spartans score 97.9 points per 100 possessions (127th in college basketball), while giving up 86.6 points per 100 possessions (34th in college basketball).
  • UNC Greensboro and its opponents have been mostly even in the turnover battle. The Spartans commit 9.8 per game (46th in college basketball) and force 10.6 (262nd in college basketball action).

Mercer Performance Insights

  • The Bears’ +46 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 1.7 points per game) is a result of putting up 78 points per game (83rd in college basketball) while allowing 76.3 per outing (303rd in college basketball).
  • Mercer averages 35.9 rebounds per game (23rd in college basketball), compared to the 35.4 of its opponents.
  • Mercer makes 8.4 three-pointers per game (106th in college basketball) at a 32.3% rate (273rd in college basketball), compared to the 9.5 per outing its opponents make, shooting 34.1% from deep.
  • Mercer forces 12.9 turnovers per game (67th in college basketball) while committing 12 (253rd in college basketball).

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